TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
polymarket
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Al Qadisiyah vs. Al Ahli?

Volume:
$338,340

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 6:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$252,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

QAD

99%
51%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,817
$9,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

12%
12%
Yes 12¢No 88¢
—
$30
$1,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AHL

1%
27%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$70
$2,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Qadsiah wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,918
N/A
N/A
$6,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Qadsiah wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,136
N/A
N/A
$4,423
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
$1,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,281
N/A
N/A
$1,841
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Qadsiah wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,085
N/A
N/A
$1,069
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Qadsiah wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
$803
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club will win their match against Al Ahli Saudi Club on September 8, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Al Qadisiyah winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution will be determined by the result reported at https://www.slstat.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 8, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi introduces margin-based outcomes, while Polymarket and Predict focus on simple win/draw/loss.Hero tip: If trading on Kalshi, consider the probability of the win margin exceeding the threshold. On Polymarket/Predict, focus on the likelihood of a win regardless of margin.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if Al Qadisiyah wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time, otherwise 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if needed. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Predict: Identical logic to Polymarket: resolves based on a simple win/draw/loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if needed. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'Yes'."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Al Qadisiyah or Al Ahli wins by *more than* a specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Focuses on the *degree* of victory, not just the victory itself. "If Al Qadsiah wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if Al Qadsiah wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Al Ahli Saudi wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals in the professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals do not count toward resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the aggregated opinions of many participants. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information access and differing interpretations of the same data. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the odds across both types of platforms.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and information sets. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, while lower volume might result in greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between the two platforms, contributing to potential price discrepancies. These factors create unique market dynamics on each venue.