TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Okhdood SC and Al Fayha Saudi Club scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets include spread bets (at -1.5, -2.5 thresholds for both teams), over/under totals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals), and a both-teams-to-score market. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses discrete goal-count language (e.g., 'win by 2 or more goals') while Kalshi uses continuous threshold language (e.g., 'more than 1.5 goals'). For integer soccer outcomes, these are equivalent, but the phrasing differs.Hero Tip:
In soccer, goals are always integers. A 2-goal win satisfies both 'win by 2 or more' (Polymarket) and 'more than 1.5' (Kalshi). No practical trading risk exists for standard match outcomes. Confirm with each platform's support if any edge case (e.g., abandoned match, penalty shootout) is treated differently.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets use discrete goal-differential language: 'win by 2 or more goals' for -1.5 spread, 'win by 3 or more goals' for -2.5 spread. Resolution source is spl.com.sa (official Saudi Pro League). Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Al Okhdood SC if Al Okhdood SC win the game by 2 or more goals.'Kalshi:
Spread markets use continuous threshold language: 'wins by more than 1.5 goals' and 'wins by more than 2.5 goals'. No explicit primary resolution source stated; references 'professional Saudi Pro League soccer game.' Key Quote: 'If Al-Akhdoud wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Al-Fayha at Al-Akhdoud professional Saudi Pro League soccer game... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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