TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Al Nassr and Al-Fateh, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Al Nassr vs Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League match scheduled for August 15, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific winning margin: Al Nassr winning by more than 2.5 goals, Al Nassr winning by more than 1.5 goals, Al-Fateh winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Al-Fateh winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible score margins. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants on Kalshi. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather updates — traders adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift based on real-time sentiment and volume of $32,937.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score margin will be compared against the defined spread to determine which side of the market is correct. As long as the match occurs on schedule and results are reported publicly, the market will settle automatically based on official match records.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, changes to the coaching staff, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and any disciplinary actions that impact team performance. Additionally, strong pre-match betting trends or analysts’ updates highlighting favoritism may influence trader sentiment. As these developments unfold, the odds can react quickly, especially with volume of $32,493 on Kalshi.