Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve all markets based on the official final score from the Al Nassr vs. Al Najmah Saudi Professional League match scheduled for April 3, 2026, with outcomes determined by goal differential thresholds applied to the 90-minute plus stoppage time result.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on slstat.com and official statistics recognized by the Saudi Professional League governing body or event organizers.
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Al Najmah (-2.5) resolves YES if Al Najmah wins by 3+ goals; Al Nassr (-1.5) resolves YES if Al Nassr wins by 2+ goals; Al Najmah (-1.5) resolves YES if Al Najmah wins by 2+ goals; Al Nassr (-2.5) resolves YES if Al Nassr wins by 3+ goals.
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if both teams each score at least one goal; resolves NO if either team scores zero goals.
All markets refer only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, all markets resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed and the official final score is published.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets in the group resolve 50-50.
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed, markets resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com for the 90 minutes plus stoppage time that were played.
Delayed Official Statistics: If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used as the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score by slstat.com or the Saudi Professional League governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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