TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC
Volume:
$117,222
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three binary markets track the three possible outcomes: Al Nassr win, Al Hazem win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Game cancellation resolution differs between platforms. Polymarket applies outcome-dependent logic (Win markets resolve No; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation), while Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating potential settlement asymmetry.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. On Polymarket, the Draw market has favorable cancellation terms (Yes) compared to Win markets (No). On Kalshi, cancellation handling is unclear—seek clarification. Both platforms keep markets open if game is postponed, so postponement alone does not trigger early resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with outcome-dependent cancellation logic. Al Nassr Win and Al Hazem Win markets resolve No if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Resolution scope: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three binary markets (Tie wins, Al-Hazm wins, Al Nassr wins) each resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly, all three outcomes are treated as resolvable if the game is played, but cancellation handling is not documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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