TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club

Volume:
$763,871

Al Nassr

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 30, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Nassr

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$329,266
N/A
N/A
$190,385
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Nassr Saudi Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$115,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,781
N/A
N/A
$84,813
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,684
N/A
N/A
$59,241
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a logical ambiguity: it resolves YES both for an actual draw outcome AND for a canceled match with no make-up game. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, suggesting standard void/no-resolution practice. This creates potential cross-platform settlement divergence if the match is canceled.Hero tip: If you are holding positions across both platforms, request clarification from Polymarket on whether a canceled match truly resolves YES on the draw market. In practice, if the match is canceled, expect Kalshi markets to void or remain unresolved, while Polymarket's draw market may resolve YES—creating a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Hedge accordingly or avoid cross-platform exposure until clarification is published.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets: Al Nassr Win (YES if Al Nassr wins, NO otherwise), Al Ahli Win (YES if Al Ahli wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Cancellation rule for draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.' Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Resolution source: official Saudi Pro League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end.
  • Kalshi: Three markets covering all possible outcomes: Tie (YES if draw), Al Nassr (YES if Al Nassr wins), Al Ahli (YES if Al Ahli wins). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Implies standard sports market practice where cancellation results in void or no resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.