TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical ambiguity: it resolves YES both for an actual draw outcome AND for a canceled match with no make-up game. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, suggesting standard void/no-resolution practice. This creates potential cross-platform settlement divergence if the match is canceled.Hero Tip:
If you are holding positions across both platforms, request clarification from Polymarket on whether a canceled match truly resolves YES on the draw market. In practice, if the match is canceled, expect Kalshi markets to void or remain unresolved, while Polymarket's draw market may resolve YES—creating a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Hedge accordingly or avoid cross-platform exposure until clarification is published.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary markets: Al Nassr Win (YES if Al Nassr wins, NO otherwise), Al Ahli Win (YES if Al Ahli wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Cancellation rule for draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.' Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Resolution source: official Saudi Pro League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end.Kalshi:
Three markets covering all possible outcomes: Tie (YES if draw), Al Nassr (YES if Al Nassr wins), Al Ahli (YES if Al Ahli wins). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Implies standard sports market practice where cancellation results in void or no resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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