TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club
Volume:
$629,532
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Najmah Saudi Club and Damac Saudi Club scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-makeup scenarios are handled inconsistently between platforms. Polymarket explicitly specifies different resolutions for draw vs. win markets in cancellation cases, while Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements before March 12, 2026. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve Yes while win markets resolve No. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario is undefined—contact support for clarification. Consider this asymmetry when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Al Najmah win (Yes if Al Najmah wins, No if canceled/no makeup), Damac win (Yes if Damac wins, No if canceled/no makeup), and Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled/no makeup). Explicitly addresses postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (win markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes presented as separate Yes/No resolutions: Damac wins, Al-Najma wins, or Tie. Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.