This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Najmah and Al Kholood scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets track the outcome of the match (win/loss/draw) as determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up), while win/loss markets resolve NO on cancellation. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential ambiguity in edge-case resolution.
Hero Tip:
Traders should note that on Polymarket, the draw market is the only outcome that benefits from cancellation (YES payout). Win and loss markets both resolve NO if canceled. On Kalshi, clarify the cancellation protocol with support before trading, as the rules do not explicitly address this scenario.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Al Najmah win (YES if wins, NO otherwise), Al Kholood win (YES if wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All three explicitly state: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [YES for draw / NO for win/loss].' Time window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi: Three categorical outcomes presented as separate YES resolutions: 'If Al-Najma wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Kholood wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Time window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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