This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Kholood Saudi Club and Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome of the match (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) with aligned handling of postponements and cancellations, though Kalshi's market structure differs from Polymarket's binary format.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Saudi Pro League records and slstat.com
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
Three possible outcomes: Al Kholood win, Al Qadisiyah win, or draw
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed
If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves win markets to No and draw market to Yes; Kalshi's outcome-based structure resolves to the actual result if played or treats cancellation as a tie scenario
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: markets resolve based on the cancellation being treated as a non-result (effectively a tie)
Scope of Play: Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalties are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 5, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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