This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Saudi Pro League match between Al Khaleej Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets track whether Al Hazem wins, Al Khaleej wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how match cancellation resolves. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely; Polymarket resolves Win/Loss markets to No but Draw markets to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup.
Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled, Polymarket traders face asymmetric resolution: backing the Draw pays out while backing either team loses. Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates ambiguity. Request explicit clarification from both platforms on their cancellation protocols before March 6, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Treats all three outcomes (Al-Hazm win, Al-Khaleej win, draw) as Yes-resolving events. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Polymarket: Three separate markets: Al Hazem win (Yes if Al Hazem wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Al Khaleej win (Yes if Al Khaleej wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Win/Loss to No but Draw to Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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