TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Al-Ittihad will win its professional Saudi Pro League soccer game against Al-Fayha. Currently, the probability of Al-Ittihad winning on Kalshi is 98.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for September 8, 2026, as that date represents the end of the betting period and will determine the market’s resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for September 8, 2026. If Al-Ittihad wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Al-Ittihad' market resolves to Yes. If Al-Fayha wins under the same conditions, the 'Al-Fayha' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after the same duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can lead to variations in implied probabilities. Traders may react more quickly to new information, causing shifts that sportsbooks might not adjust as rapidly. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous trading process where participants submit bids and offers based on their expectations for the match outcome. The current top chance reflects the aggregated sentiment of all active traders on the platform. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather conditions — traders adjust their positions, which in turn updates the market price in real time.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then automatically matched against the market’s defined outcomes. Traders can track confirmed results through official league announcements or reputable sports news sources as the date approaches.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including key player injuries, changes in team strategies, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and recent performance trends. High-profile media coverage or analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. As these developments unfold, participants may adjust their bets, causing fluctuations in the market odds and overall volume leading up to Sep 8, 2026.