This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Ittihad and Al Khaleej scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with resolution based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Polymarket and Kalshi cover different market types (match outcome vs. total goals) with inconsistent cancellation logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while win/loss markets resolve No, creating an internal contradiction.
Hero Tip:
Monitor game status closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders face conflicting resolution signals across the three outcome markets. Kalshi traders should seek clarification on whether total goals markets remain open or resolve on cancellation. Cross-platform hedging is risky due to these structural inconsistencies.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three binary outcome markets (Al Ittihad win, draw, Al Khaleej win) resolve Yes/No based on match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation rule: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' for win/loss markets, but 'resolve Yes' for draw market. This creates a logical contradiction where all three markets cannot simultaneously resolve consistently on cancellation.
Kalshi:
Four total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Yes if combined goals exceed threshold within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided, leaving settlement ambiguous if game does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.