TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club
Volume:
$509,764
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Ittihad Saudi Club and Al Fayha Saudi Club scheduled for February 13, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: whether Al Ittihad wins, whether the match ends in a draw, and whether Al Fayha wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Al-Ittihad win, tie, Al-Fayha win) are specified to resolve Yes if the game is played, making simultaneous resolution impossible. Polymarket uses asymmetric cancellation logic where Win/Loss markets resolve No but Draw resolves Yes if the game is canceled.Hero Tip:
Do not rely on Kalshi for settlement—the market structure is logically flawed. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source. Monitor for game cancellation: if canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket Draw to resolve Yes while Win and Loss markets resolve No. If the game is played, all three Polymarket markets will resolve based on actual match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time only).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Specifies that if Al-Ittihad wins, market resolves Yes; if Tie occurs, market resolves Yes; if Al-Fayha wins, market resolves Yes. This creates logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. No differentiation for cancellation scenarios.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with consistent logic: Win/Loss markets resolve Yes if that team wins, No otherwise (including cancellation). Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw or is canceled entirely with no makeup. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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