This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Hazem SC and Al Kholood Saudi Club scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three binary markets track the outcome: Al Hazem win, Al Kholood win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation clause that resolves to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, creating a logical divergence from Kalshi's standard outcome-based resolution framework.
Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket draw YES and Kalshi tie NO will diverge. Monitor Saudi Pro League official announcements for cancellation notices. Consider hedging across platforms if cancellation risk is material.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Al Hazem win YES/NO, Al Kholood win YES/NO, and Draw YES/NO. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique feature: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no makeup game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Kalshi: Three separate outcome markets covering Al-Hazm win, Al-Kholood win, and Tie, all resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Al-Hazm vs Al-Kholood professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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