TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club
Volume:
$66,467
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Al Hazem SC and Al Fayha Saudi Club.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible: all three outcomes (Al-Hazm win, Al-Fayha win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, which violates the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome should occur in a match. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets for this event group — the resolution logic is fundamentally broken and unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Al Hazem SC win, Al Fayha Saudi Club win, draw) are the only reliable settlement mechanism. All bets on Kalshi should be flagged for cancellation or manual review by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi specifies that if Al-Hazm wins the market resolves Yes, if Al-Fayha wins the market resolves Yes, and if a tie occurs the market resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Al-Hazm wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Al-Fayha wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design principles: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes — one market resolves Yes only if Al Hazem SC wins, another only if Al Fayha Saudi Club wins, and a third only if the game ends in a draw. All other outcomes resolve No. Key quote: 'If Al Hazem SC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and separately for the draw market 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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