TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Fayha and Al Nassr scheduled for February 28, 2026. Kalshi offers four over/under markets on total goals (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Al Fayha win, draw, Al Nassr win). All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same match on the same date with consistent cancellation and postponement handling.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Saudi Pro League records; slstat.com as cited by PolymarketCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Match date and location: February 28, 2026, Al Nassr at Al Fayha (Saudi Pro League)
- Kalshi total goals markets: resolve Yes if collective goals exceed stated threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5); resolve No otherwise
- Polymarket match outcome markets: Al Fayha win resolves Yes if Al Fayha scores more; draw resolves Yes if equal; Al Nassr win resolves Yes if Al Nassr scores more
- Postponement: all markets remain open until the match is completed
- Cancellation with no makeup: Kalshi goal markets resolve No (threshold not met); Polymarket win markets resolve No; Polymarket draw market resolves Yes per stated rule
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
- Cancellation without makeup: Kalshi total goal markets resolve No (threshold not satisfied). Polymarket win markets (Al Fayha win, Al Nassr win) resolve No. Polymarket draw market resolves Yes per its stated cancellation rule.
- Stoppage time inclusion: All goals scored during the official stoppage time period are counted. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded.
- Official score source: Resolution uses the official final score recorded by the Saudi Pro League and confirmed via slstat.com.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 28, 2026. If postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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