TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Fateh and Damac scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals, and both-teams-to-score prop, all resolving to the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Spread threshold definition differs between platforms. Polymarket uses inclusive thresholds (win by 2 or more = YES for -1.5 spread), while Kalshi uses exclusive phrasing (win by more than 1.5 = YES), which are mathematically equivalent but create semantic ambiguity in edge cases.Hero Tip:
For spread markets, confirm the exact final goal margin and cross-reference both platforms' published settlement criteria. A 2-goal margin is the critical boundary: Polymarket treats it as YES for -1.5 spreads, and Kalshi's 'more than 1.5' also means YES. However, always verify the official SPL score and each platform's final settlement statement to avoid disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets use inclusive thresholds: Al Fateh (-1.5) resolves YES if Al Fateh wins by 2 or more goals. Al Fateh (-2.5) resolves YES if Al Fateh wins by 3 or more goals. Over/Under and BTTS use standard sports betting logic (2+ goals = Over 1.5, 3+ goals = Over 2.5, etc.). All resolve per official SPL final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Kalshi:
Spread markets use exclusive phrasing: Al-Fateh wins by more than 1.5 goals resolves YES (mathematically >=2). Damac wins by more than 1.5 goals resolves YES. Al-Fateh wins by more than 2.5 goals resolves YES (mathematically >=3). Damac wins by more than 2.5 goals resolves YES. No explicit over/under or BTTS markets listed; only spread outcomes provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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