TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club
kalshi
polymarket

Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club

Volume:
$180,252

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,603
N/A
N/A
$8,900
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Fateh Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$313,637
$55,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Damac Saudi Club

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$305,927
$32,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Fateh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,669
N/A
N/A
$39,910
Settled
No
kalshi

Damac

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,316
N/A
N/A
$17,537
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Al Fateh vs. Damac Saudi Club professional soccer match scheduled for February 26, 2026 in the Saudi Pro League. Markets assess whether Al Fateh wins, Damac wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic does not explicitly address game cancellation or postponement, while Polymarket provides detailed cancellation rules that create asymmetric outcomes across the three linked markets.Hero tip: Monitor official Saudi Pro League sources and both platforms' announcements in early February 2026. If postponement occurs, Polymarket keeps markets open; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. If cancellation occurs with no make-up, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—a rare divergence that could create arbitrage or loss depending on your position mix.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Provides explicit cancellation rules: Win/Loss markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up; Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps all markets open until completion. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins/losses) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw).
  • Kalshi: States all three outcomes (Tie, Al-Fateh win, Damac win) resolve to YES if their condition is met, but does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation scenarios. The structure implies the game will be completed; no fallback logic is provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and same for each outcome), with no mention of cancellation protocol.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.