TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club
Volume:
$180,252
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Al Fateh vs. Damac Saudi Club professional soccer match scheduled for February 26, 2026 in the Saudi Pro League. Markets assess whether Al Fateh wins, Damac wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic does not explicitly address game cancellation or postponement, while Polymarket provides detailed cancellation rules that create asymmetric outcomes across the three linked markets.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Saudi Pro League sources and both platforms' announcements in early February 2026. If postponement occurs, Polymarket keeps markets open; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. If cancellation occurs with no make-up, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—a rare divergence that could create arbitrage or loss depending on your position mix.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Provides explicit cancellation rules: Win/Loss markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up; Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps all markets open until completion. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins/losses) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw).
- Kalshi: States all three outcomes (Tie, Al-Fateh win, Damac win) resolve to YES if their condition is met, but does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation scenarios. The structure implies the game will be completed; no fallback logic is provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and same for each outcome), with no mention of cancellation protocol.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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