TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club
Volume:
$403,913
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Fateh and Al Nassr scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket predict the final result (win/loss/draw) based on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies asymmetric outcomes: draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, but win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market becomes a Yes resolution while win markets become No. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined—contact support for clarification before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Al Fateh win (Yes if Al Fateh wins, No otherwise), Al Nassr win (Yes if Al Nassr wins, No otherwise), and draw (Yes if draw). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to Yes and win markets to No. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Single event group with three outcome paths: Al Fateh win resolves Yes, Al Nassr win resolves Yes, tie resolves Yes. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.