This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Fateh and Al Hilal scheduled for March 14, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets on match outcome (Al Fateh win, Al Hilal win, draw), while Kalshi offers four over/under markets on combined total goals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds). Both platforms reference the same game and apply 90-minute plus stoppage time resolution windows.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same match event on the same date with consistent cancellation and postponement handling.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Saudi Pro League final match records (slstat.com referenced by Polymarket; Kalshi uses same league data)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Polymarket match outcome markets (Win/Loss/Draw) resolve based on final score within the 90+stoppage window
Kalshi over/under total goals markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams within the 90+stoppage window
Postponement: markets remain open until the match is completed
Cancellation without rescheduling: Polymarket resolves to No; Kalshi resolves based on final score if played, or 0-0 if never played
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its new date
Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket outcome markets resolve to No; Kalshi goal markets resolve based on the final score if any portion was played, or treat as 0-0 if never started
Extra Time or Penalties: Goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Draw Cancellation: Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time as signaled by the referee). For postponed matches, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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