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Closed: Aug 14, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of a Saudi Professional League soccer match between Al Faisaly Saudi Club and NEOM SC, scheduled for August 21, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team scores more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time, or if the match ends in a draw during that period.
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Faisaly Saudi Club and NEOM SC, scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Faisaly Saudi Club" if Al Faisaly Saudi Club score more goals than NEOM SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Al Faisaly Saudi Club and NEOM SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NEOM SC" if NEOM SC score more goals than Al Faisaly Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the Al Hilal vs Al-Faisaly professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for August 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Al Hilal wins, the 'Al Hilal' market resolves to Yes. If Al-Faisaly wins, the 'Al-Faisaly' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Faisaly Saudi Club and NEOM SC, scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Faisaly Saudi Club" if Al Faisaly Saudi Club score more goals than NEOM SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Al Faisaly Saudi Club and NEOM SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NEOM SC" if NEOM SC score more goals than Al Faisaly Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets reflect the aggregated wisdom of participants who may have deeper or more niche insights. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially when market participants react quickly to new data or shifts in team form.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans or traders with specific insights, skewing its probabilities. Additionally, each venue has its own fee structure and market design, which can influence how traders place bets and thus affect the current odds displayed for this market.
Injuries, tactical changes, or momentum shifts during the match could all influence this market. Key moments such as red cards, substitutions, or scoring patterns in the second half may cause rapid adjustments in probability as traders reassess likely outcomes. Additionally, broader narrative shifts — like crowd energy or referee decisions — can also impact sentiment and move this market significantly before it settles.