This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Ettifaq and Al Riyadh scheduled for April 9, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals over/under thresholds (Kalshi), match winner predictions (Polymarket), and draw outcomes (Polymarket).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently measure outcomes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, use official Saudi Pro League statistics as primary source with credible reporting fallback, and apply identical postponement and cancellation protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Saudi Pro League statistics (slstat.com) or governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined only by goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded
Kalshi over/under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 total goals) resolve Yes if combined goals exceed stated threshold, No otherwise
Polymarket winner markets resolve Yes if specified team wins, No if they lose or draw; draw market resolves Yes only if match ends level
All markets use official Saudi Pro League statistics as primary resolution source
If official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match end, credible reporting consensus becomes secondary source
Postponed matches keep all markets open until game completion
Fully canceled matches with no makeup game: Polymarket winner/draw markets resolve No; Kalshi over/under markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the completed match statistics.
Full Cancellation: If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket winner and draw markets resolve to No. Kalshi over/under markets also resolve to No (threshold not met).
Official Statistics Delay: If Saudi Pro League or governing body does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting from established sports news sources may be used to establish consensus resolution.
Extra Time or Penalties: Only goals scored in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count. Any goals in extra time or penalties are excluded from all market resolutions.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics must be published or credible consensus established within 2 hours of match end for final settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.