This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 5, 2026 between Al Ettifaq Saudi Club and Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket differ fundamentally in scope and resolution logic. Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on total goals scored (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three match-outcome markets (Al Qadisiyah win, Al Ettifaq win, draw). These are distinct event types with different settlement values and cannot be unified.Hero tip: Kalshi bettors are trading goal-count thresholds; Polymarket bettors are trading match outcomes. A single match result (e.g., 2-1 to Al Ettifaq) will resolve multiple Kalshi markets differently (YES for >1.5 and >2.5, NO for >3.5 and >4.5) but only one Polymarket outcome (Al Ettifaq win). Do not assume cross-platform arbitrage; the markets measure different things.

Critical divergence points:

Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on total goals scored by both teams combined across four separate over/under thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 goals). Resolution is binary per market: YES if the threshold is exceeded, NO otherwise. All markets reference the same match on April 5, 2026, and measure only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Al Qadsiah and Al-Ittifaq collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (win/loss/draw) for the same April 5, 2026 match. Three separate markets cover Al Qadisiyah win, Al Ettifaq win, and draw; exactly one will resolve YES. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time and use official Saudi Pro League statistics as primary source. Key quote: 'If Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

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