TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club
Volume:
$351,691
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Saudi Pro League match between Al Ettifaq and Al Fateh scheduled for February 19, 2026. The markets assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi's three-outcome structure guarantees resolution to Yes for one outcome; Polymarket's binary markets resolve No for win/loss on cancellation but Yes for draw on cancellation.Hero Tip:
If cancellation risk exists, the Polymarket draw market and Kalshi draw outcome have opposite payoff incentives under cancellation. Confirm with each platform whether postponement (rescheduled game) differs from permanent cancellation in resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive Yes-resolution outcomes (tie, Al Ittifaq win, Al Fateh win). Market structure guarantees exactly one resolves to Yes. No explicit cancellation clause provided; implicit assumption is game occurs.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets. Win/loss markets resolve No if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. Postponed games keep markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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