This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Ahli Saudi Club and Damac Saudi Club scheduled for April 4, 2026. Markets span goal differentials (spreads), total goals (over/unders), and both-teams-to-score outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official final score from slstat.com for 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete matches (official final score).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Saudi Professional League statistics published on slstat.com; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
Kalshi markets 1-4: Al Ahli win by >1.5 goals (Yes), Al Ahli win by >2.5 goals (Yes), Damac win by >2.5 goals (Yes), Damac win by >1.5 goals (Yes)
Polymarket O/U 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Polymarket Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either scores 0
Polymarket Spread Al Ahli (-2.5): Al Ahli wins if margin >= 3 goals, otherwise Damac
Polymarket O/U 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Polymarket Spread Al Ahli (-1.5): Al Ahli wins if margin >= 2 goals, otherwise Damac
Polymarket Spread Damac (-1.5): Damac wins if margin >= 2 goals, otherwise Al Ahli
Polymarket Spread Damac (-2.5): Damac wins if margin >= 3 goals, otherwise Al Ahli
Polymarket O/U 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Polymarket O/U 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a rescheduled date
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
Incomplete Match: Markets resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com at the time of match termination
Source Delay: If official Saudi Professional League statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
Scope Clarity: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final whistle at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official confirmation from slstat.com or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.