TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 8:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins during a specific quarter of a college football game. It focuses solely on the point differential in the second quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome or other quarters.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Akron and Wake Forest during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: if Wake Forest's second-quarter lead exceeds the stated margin, relevant 'Wake Forest wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Akron's second-quarter lead exceeds the threshold, corresponding 'Akron wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time; any delay beyond this results in fair-price resolution. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique participant dynamics and real-time adjustments. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as specific in-game scenarios or situational variables. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear more volatile or divergent compared to established sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges. This distinction provides a complementary view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price of this market through continuous trading, adjusting the odds based on new information, betting patterns, and expectations for the second-quarter performance gap. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about which team is likely to cover the spread in that quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter will be used to determine whether Akron or Wake Forest covers the set spread, closing the market based on official box scores and game records.
Key performances by star players, injury updates, or coaching strategies could shift expectations for the second quarter. Weather conditions or venue factors may also influence scoring trends. As the game progresses, real-time statistics like turnover ratios or momentum swings will impact trader sentiment. Any surprising tactical decisions by coaches could rapidly reshape this market before Sep 4, 2026.