TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Akron and Minnesota. Outcomes depend solely on which team scores more points in that specific quarter, with varying thresholds for the margin of victory.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Akron vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's third-quarter point differential exceeds the stated threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price. No broader game outcomes or points from other quarters influence resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public perception deviates from expert opinion. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded view of the likely outcome, though it is important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread between Akron and Minnesota. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for the chance of a specific spread occurring in the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the third quarter of the Akron vs Minnesota game. Specifically, the difference between the final score at the end of the third quarter for both teams will be compared to the spread offered in this market. The outcome will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a shift in team dynamics, could also cause significant fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or groups could temporarily move the market, creating opportunities for informed traders. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.