TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Akron vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Minnesota wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points), the corresponding 'Minnesota wins 2Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Akron wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'Akron wins 2Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result of the second quarter. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, this market may exhibit differences due to varying levels of information and participant expertise, and the specific focus of each venue’s traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price rises, indicating greater confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-quarter point spread of the Akron vs Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor for the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in prior games could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially impacting the scoring dynamics. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can also influence trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could cause noticeable price movements as they express their views on the likely outcome of the Akron vs Minnesota game.