TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively each team might win the second half of an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend entirely on the point differential between the two teams during the latter half of play, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Akron vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold: if Minnesota's second-half point differential exceeds the threshold, markets labeled with Minnesota resolve as Yes; if Akron's exceeds the threshold, those labeled with Akron resolve as Yes. For thresholds not met, all markets resolve as No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering an edge for informed traders. However, both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the game’s likely result, creating a real-time assessment of the potential point difference.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Akron vs Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score difference will determine which contracts are considered winning or losing positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Akron or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect traders’ perceptions of the likely point spread. Public sentiment and large trading volume from informed individuals can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.