TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on an Eredivisie Vrouwen encounter between Ajax and de Graafschap. The determination of the market is based purely on the match's result following the regulated 90 minutes of play, not including extended time or penalty decisions.
If Ajax wins the Ajax vs de Graafschap professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If de Graafschap wins the Ajax vs de Graafschap professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Ajax vs de Graafschap professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes in the Ajax vs de Graafschap match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into the potential for price movement. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajax vs de Graafschap match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the availability of key players for either Ajax or de Graafschap would likely cause price adjustments. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches or changes in weather conditions could also play a role. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Ajax vs de Graafschap match can also contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.