TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams competing in a league fixture. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ajax vs ADO Den Haag professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ajax wins, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes; if ADO Den Haag wins, the 'ADO Den Haag' market resolves to Yes; and if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its associated trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers into their lines, while this market represents the collective judgment of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing where the 'wisdom of the crowd' differs from professional oddsmakers, and potentially identifying value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, potentially incorporating new information more quickly than fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajax vs ADO Den Haag match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the market design, but will be clearly defined on the Kalshi market page. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on the latest information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations. Significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in sentiment, potentially signaling new information or a reassessment of probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help traders understand the dynamics driving the market.