TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, whereas this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible halftime result. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and reflect the latest information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result—whether Auxerre is leading, Nice is leading, or the game is tied—will be determined based on official match data. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts for the correct halftime result will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Auxerre or Nice would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions that gain traction could sway trader sentiment and affect the odds. Finally, even large trading volume itself can create momentum and drive price changes in this market.