TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Air Force will win its college football game against Nevada. Currently, the probability of Air Force winning on Kalshi is 97.0%, while Nevada winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Air Force vs Nevada college football game, as reported by the game result itself. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the final score of that fixture will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated college football game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both represent probabilities of the same outcome for the Air Force vs Nevada game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Air Force vs Nevada game. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Air Force vs Nevada game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football, determining which team won the game. All trading will cease upon resolution, and winning contracts will be paid out according to the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Air Force or Nevada teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected news regarding team coaching changes or significant strategic shifts could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in public perception, as reflected by media coverage and expert analysis, can influence market sentiment. Any late-breaking information regarding weather conditions or potential game-day disruptions could also lead to notable movements in this market.