TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)
Volume:
$12,839
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Air Force win and New Mexico win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths for each team winning, plus explicit handling of cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary logic with three explicit paths: Air Force victory resolves to 'Air Force Falcons', New Mexico victory resolves to 'New Mexico Lobos', and cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Source: NCAA.org.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: both 'If Air Force wins' and 'If New Mexico wins' are specified to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No cancellation clause provided. This makes it impossible to distinguish outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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