A college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi moneyline contains logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve YES). Polymarket uses categorical resolution (team names). Over/under markets have mismatched thresholds (147.5 vs 148.5), creating separate settlement values for identical game outcome.
Hero Tip:
For moneyline: rely on Polymarket's categorical resolution (Air Force Falcons or New Mexico Lobos). Kalshi moneyline should be flagged as unresolvable in current form. For totals: verify your position targets the correct threshold - a 148-point combined score resolves differently on each platform.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: states both New Mexico win and Air Force win resolve to YES. Spread markets (-27.5, -28.5) resolve to team names with clear thresholds. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Air Force Falcons or New Mexico Lobos). Two separate over/under markets at 147.5 and 148.5 thresholds. Two separate spread markets at -27.5 and -28.5. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled entirely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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