TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
Volume:
$98,765
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Air Force Falcons and Fresno State Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Fresno State. Markets track the moneyline winner, multiple point spread variations, and total points over/under thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Air Force victory and Fresno State victory resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline market should be flagged as unresolvable due to the specification error. Trade the Polymarket moneyline instead, which uses standard binary logic. All spread and total markets (Kalshi and Polymarket) are consistent and safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Air Force wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Fresno St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution state, preventing proper settlement.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: 'If Air Force Falcons win, resolve to Air Force Falcons' AND 'If Fresno State Bulldogs win, resolve to Fresno State Bulldogs.' Outcomes are mutually exclusive and properly differentiated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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