TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between AIK and Orgryte, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the AIK vs Orgryte Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. A ‘Yes’ outcome occurs if the stated condition — AIK winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Orgryte winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals — is met. If none of these conditions are satisfied (e.g., a win by exactly the threshold amount, a draw, or a narrower victory), all markets resolve to ‘No’. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and the way probabilities are aggregated. While sportsbooks may set a static spread, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes reflecting sharper or more nuanced insights based on recent performance trends and injury updates.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score margin will determine which side of the spread is correct, closing the market based on official match results.
Key signals include injury updates to star players, changes in team strategies, and recent head-to-head performance shifts. Weather conditions on match day and referee announcements may also impact expectations. As Aug 2, 2026 approaches, any last-minute lineup changes or tactical announcements could cause rapid adjustments in this market based on trader reactions.