TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The market tracks who will lead the 2026 AIG Women's Open after the third round, offering bets on individual golfers to finish atop the leaderboard at that specific stage.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer is the sole leader after Round 3 of the 2026 AIG Women's Open. If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, "Yes" positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down), while "No" positions receive the complement of that payout. All markets clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the PGA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities shaped by trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader models, this market allows for rapid adjustments as new performance indicators emerge, potentially creating tighter or more divergent pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after the third round will be determined by official tournament scores, and the market will close based on that verified result.
Several signals could shift probabilities before Aug 16, 2026. Performance in practice rounds, player injuries or changes in form, and weather conditions may all influence outcomes. Media coverage and expert commentary can also impact trader sentiment. As the tournament progresses, each round's leaderboards and scoring updates will be key catalysts. Any last-minute adjustments to player lineups or course conditions might cause rapid price movements in this market.