TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on identifying which golfer will hold the lead after the second round of the 2026 AIG Women's Open. It tracks real-time performance during a critical midpoint in the tournament, reflecting competitive positioning before the final rounds.
Each market resolves to "Yes" if the specified golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 2. If multiple participants share the lead, "Yes" positions receive a payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the contract value. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the final leaderboard standings after Round 2, with no official affiliation to the PGA or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and market structure. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their insights. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements as Kalshi traders react instantly to new information, news, and in-round performance updates.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leader after Round 2 will be determined by official tournament scores, and the market will close based on that verified result.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include real-time tournament updates such as player performance in early Round 2 groups, weather delays or changes, injuries, and shifts in betting momentum as new traders enter the market. Any development that alters perceptions of who might finish strongly will likely cause price adjustments on Kalshi before resolution.