TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. San Jose Barracuda
Volume:
$7,517
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and San Jose Barracuda scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this game, with different resolution structures but overlapping coverage.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides a standard binary winner-selection market, while Kalshi's documented logic resolves to Yes in both win scenarios, creating fundamentally different market mechanics despite covering the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should understand they are selecting a winner. Kalshi's market logic as documented appears to conflate both outcomes into a single Yes resolution - clarify with Kalshi whether this is a game-completion market or if documentation is incomplete. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket are equivalent hedges.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner market: resolves to Tucson Roadrunners if they win, San Jose Barracuda if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Single-outcome market documented to resolve Yes if San Jose Barracuda wins AND Yes if Tucson Roadrunners wins, creating a logical tautology. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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