TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Henderson Silver Knights
Volume:
$6,873
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Henderson Silver Knights scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary market resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures this as a categorical winner-determination market.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event. Polymarket's structure (categorical outcome with explicit cancellation protocol) is the only valid resolution framework.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary market with critical logical flaw: both Henderson victory and Tucson victory resolve to Yes, leaving no distinguishable losing outcome. This violates basic binary market logic.
- Polymarket: Categorical market correctly resolving to specific winner name (Tucson Roadrunners or Henderson Silver Knights) or 50-50 split on full cancellation. Includes postponement continuity clause and shootout scoring rule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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