TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
Volume:
$6,859
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Tucson Roadrunners and Coachella Valley Firebirds scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket uses a categorical resolution (team name) with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The logical contradiction means either the market will resolve incorrectly or the platform will need to issue a clarification/amendment. Polymarket's market is tradeable and clear. Wait for Kalshi to fix the definition before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary market with critical logical error. Both outcomes map to Yes: Coachella Valley Firebirds win = Yes, AND Tucson Roadrunners win = Yes. No resolution path to No exists. Quote: 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winning team name. Tucson Roadrunners win = resolves to Tucson Roadrunners; Coachella Valley Firebirds win = resolves to Coachella Valley Firebirds. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up = 50-50 split. Quote: 'If Tucson Roadrunners win, the market will resolve to Tucson Roadrunners.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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