TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
Volume:
$4,181
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and Coachella Valley Firebirds scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this game, with divergent resolution mechanics and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Coachella Valley win and Tucson win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no path to No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket uses standard winner-determination logic with explicit cancellation and postponement rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the platform confirms whether this is a data error or a structural issue. The market as written cannot function. Polymarket is tradeable and uses industry-standard AHL resolution rules including shootout scoring and cancellation handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps both Coachella Valley win and Tucson win to Yes resolution. No outcome maps to No. This is a logical impossibility in a binary market. Quote: 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard winner-determination market: Tucson win resolves to 'Tucson Roadrunners', Coachella Valley win resolves to 'Coachella Valley Firebirds'. Explicit rules for postponement (market stays open), full cancellation (50-50 split), and shootout scoring (one goal added to winner). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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