TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

Volume:
$4,181

Coachella Valley Firebirds

 - Kalshi

Coachella Valley Firebirds - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Coachella Valley Firebirds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$10,375
$2,393
N/A
N/A
$1,991
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tucson Roadrunners

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$13,590
$1,565
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and Coachella Valley Firebirds scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this game, with divergent resolution mechanics and edge-case handling.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Coachella Valley win and Tucson win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no path to No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket uses standard winner-determination logic with explicit cancellation and postponement rules.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market until the platform confirms whether this is a data error or a structural issue. The market as written cannot function. Polymarket is tradeable and uses industry-standard AHL resolution rules including shootout scoring and cancellation handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps both Coachella Valley win and Tucson win to Yes resolution. No outcome maps to No. This is a logical impossibility in a binary market. Quote: 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Standard winner-determination market: Tucson win resolves to 'Tucson Roadrunners', Coachella Valley win resolves to 'Coachella Valley Firebirds'. Explicit rules for postponement (market stays open), full cancellation (50-50 split), and shootout scoring (one goal added to winner). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.