TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Tucson Roadrunners and Bakersfield Condors. Two prediction platforms have listed this game with conflicting scheduled dates and divergent resolution logic, creating ambiguity about which game is being referenced and how outcomes should be determined.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes), and the two platforms specify different game dates (Mar 6 vs Mar 7, 2026). This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable and creates ambiguity about which physical game event is being referenced.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the logical error is corrected. Polymarket's logic is sound, but confirm the Mar 7, 2026 date against theahl.com official schedule. These markets cannot be arbitraged or treated as duplicates due to the date mismatch and Kalshi's internal contradiction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Specifies Mar 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST. Contains a critical logical error: both 'Bakersfield Condors wins' and 'Tucson Roadrunners wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a single game outcome. Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Specifies Mar 7, 2026 (one day later than Kalshi). Uses standard binary logic: Tucson win resolves to Tucson Roadrunners, Bakersfield win resolves to Bakersfield Condors. Includes explicit rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 resolution). Key Quote: 'If Tucson Roadrunners win, the market will resolve to Tucson Roadrunners. If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Condors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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