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AHL: Texas Stars vs. Manitoba Moose
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Texas Stars vs. Manitoba Moose

Volume:
$2,617

Manitoba Moose

 - Kalshi

Manitoba Moose - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,180
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas Stars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,059
N/A
N/A
$629
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Texas Stars vs. Manitoba Moose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Texas Stars and Manitoba Moose scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas Stars win OR Manitoba Moose win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket provides standard binary resolution with proper outcome separation.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is fundamentally broken - it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to profit from correct predictions. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Texas Stars wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market non-functional.
  • Polymarket: Standard binary resolution: Texas Stars win resolves to 'Texas Stars', Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose'. Includes proper edge case handling: postponements keep market open until completion, cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.