TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Belleville Senators
Volume:
$2,065
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Belleville Senators scheduled for March 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with resolution tied to the final game result including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Belleville Senators win OR Springfield Thunderbirds win) are stated to resolve to Yes, violating fundamental binary market principles and making the market unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the contradiction is resolved. The market as documented cannot function because every possible outcome maps to Yes. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear. Request clarification from Kalshi that the intended logic is: Belleville Senators win = Yes, Springfield Thunderbirds win = No (or vice versa).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome structure with three explicit resolution paths: Springfield Thunderbirds win resolves to Springfield Thunderbirds, Belleville Senators win resolves to Belleville Senators, game cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout outcomes are normalized by adding one goal to winning team's score. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/No resolution criteria stating both Belleville Senators victory AND Springfield Thunderbirds victory resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No explicit handling of cancellation or postponement. Key Quote: If Belleville Senators wins...resolves to Yes. If Springfield Thunderbirds wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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