TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Tucson Roadrunners
Volume:
$1,115
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the San Jose Barracuda and Tucson Roadrunners scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Jose Barracuda win or Tucson Roadrunners win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and eliminating all predictive differentiation.Hero Tip:
This is a critical flaw. Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market will always resolve Yes because exactly one team must win. Polymarket's binary structure (team name resolution) is the only tradeable version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution with explicit edge cases. Resolves to the winning team's name (San Jose Barracuda or Tucson Roadrunners). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Includes shootout scoring rule (one goal added to winner). Key Quote: If San Jose Barracuda win, the market will resolve to San Jose Barracuda. If Tucson Roadrunners win, the market will resolve to Tucson Roadrunners.
- Kalshi: Logically broken binary structure where both outcomes map to Yes. Both If San Jose Barracuda wins...resolves to Yes AND If Tucson Roadrunners wins...resolves to Yes. Since one team must win, the market will always resolve Yes, providing no differentiation. Key Quote: If San Jose Barracuda wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tucson Roadrunners wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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