This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Rockford IceHogs and Chicago Wolves scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Chicago Wolves win OR Rockford IceHogs win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winning and losing positions.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because both teams winning cannot both trigger a Yes resolution in a binary outcome framework. Use Polymarket exclusively for this matchup, which has clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths and explicit edge-case rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolution. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime/shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to Rockford IceHogs. If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to Chicago Wolves.'
Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. Market states both 'If Chicago Wolves wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Rockford Icehogs wins...resolves to Yes,' creating an impossible condition where both outcomes map to the same resolution. Key Quote: 'If Chicago Wolves wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Rockford Icehogs wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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