TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Ontario Reign vs. Iowa Wild
Volume:
$2,111
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Ontario Reign and Iowa Wild scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Ontario Reign win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's market is properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has clear mutually exclusive outcomes (Ontario Reign or Iowa Wild) and proper edge-case handling for postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Iowa Wild wins AND resolves to Yes if Ontario Reign wins. This is a logical impossibility. Key quote: 'If Iowa Wild wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Ontario Reign wins... resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to the name of the winning team (Ontario Reign or Iowa Wild), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Key quote: 'If Ontario Reign win, resolves to Ontario Reign. If Iowa Wild win, resolves to Iowa Wild.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.