TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Ontario Reign vs. Henderson Silver Knights
Volume:
$6,077
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Ontario Reign and Henderson Silver Knights scheduled for March 25, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the winner of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Henderson Silver Knights win and Ontario Reign win are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket has clear binary logic with no such flaw.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically impossible — both outcomes cannot resolve to the same state in a binary market. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with coherent resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Ontario Reign win resolves to 'Ontario Reign', Henderson Silver Knights win resolves to 'Henderson Silver Knights'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: 'If Henderson Silver Knights wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ontario Reign wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution state, violating binary market logic. No explicit postponement or cancellation handling provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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